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Stats suggest Saka injury return will give Arsenal major boost

Bukayo Saka’s imminent injury comeback will give Arsenal a major boost for the run-in, according to the stats around his involvement with the Gunners.

Bukayo Saka framed against a black night and the Emirates Stadium lights
Photo by Warren Little/Getty Images

Bukayo Saka appears to be on the verge of a comeback after his recent injury setback, with a report on Tuesday suggesting that Arsenal were hopeful he’d make his return over the following week.

Whether that means involvement against Newcastle United or Atletico Madrid remains to be seen, but it’s clear that Saka’s comeback would provide a major boost to the team.

Bukayo Saka of Arsenal during the Premier League match between Tottenham Hotspur and Arsenal at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium on February 22, 2026 in London, England. (Photo by Justin Setterfield/Getty Images)
Photo by Justin Setterfield/Getty Images

For a start, TNT Sports report that Arsenal’s points per game in the Premier League this season drops from 2.36 with Saka starting to 1.64 without him.

Arsenal had won four league games in a row prior to Saka’s most recent absence, and they’ve lost two in a row without him.

That’s a very significant drop in form, and the Gunners will likely need to average even higher than 2.36 points per game for the remainder of the season if they want to win the league. Averaging 1.64 per game would likely mean finishing well below Manchester City.

Bukayo Saka of Arsenal looks on during the Premier League match between Tottenham Hotspur and Arsenal at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium on February 22, 2026 in London, England. (Photo by Mike Hewitt/Getty Images)
Photo by Mike Hewitt/Getty Images

On top of that, Squawka Football report that Saka is the joint leader in Europe’s top-five leagues for English players creating chances from open play (with 44).

Despite Saka missing six games of the current Premier League campaign through injury and playing through pain at other points, he continues to compete at the top of the standings for these kinds of statistics.

Given what Arsenal often appear to lack is open-play chance creation, Saka’s return could give the team just the lift they need.

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