These latest stats predict that Arsenal will finish in fifth this season, while Spurs will finish fourth.

According to this FT graphic, Arsenal have the highest chance of finishing fifth in the Premier League come May (34%), while Spurs’ most likely spot is fourth (31%).

Our next most likely position is fourth (23%) and Spurs’ is third (24%). Therefore, suggesting that the likelihood that our north London rivals will actually finish above us is pretty high this term.


Meanwhile, Chelsea are predicted to win the Premier League (64%) and Liverpool should come second (42%). Although that lot from Merseyside do have a 26% chance of winning.

It’s not all doom and gloom though! Jose Mourinho’s Manchester United should, in theory, finish below us. They’ve got a 49% chance of finishing sixth; 24% of coming fifth.

Oh, and just in case you’re wondering, by these calculations, Arsenal have a 4% chance of winning the league this season.