16 Best Football Betting Strategy
Unsurprisingly, football is the most popular betting sport in the UK, with approximately 45% of active bettors wagering on the game. However, the intense competition and unpredictability of the game make it harder to place winning bets than most anticipate.
Whether you are an experienced bettor or a newcomer, you must go beyond relying on luck and hope to find profitable betting schemes if you wish to avoid seeing your pockets stubbornly empty.
While every football betting strategy has a chance of losing, planning your bets is much more likely to land you a victory than solely relying on instincts.
So, read on, as today’s post examines the best football wagering strategies with excellent odds of winning!
16 Best Football Betting Strategy
A football betting strategy is simply an algorithm of actions formed to make a profit in betting. Almost every time a new system comes to the field, you can notice the inventors claiming it to be a win-win strategy. In reality, the system can start failing after you win a couple of bets.
When looking for websites offering football betting keep in mind, some football strategies pose minimal risk, identifying them among the countless winning plans can be difficult.
Thus, to help you, the below section has listed some of the best football betting strategies to try out for the best odds!
1. Matched Betting
This strategy considers free promotions and bets online bookmakers offer when wagering on the game. You will place two bets that cover all potential outcomes of the match. With minimal to no risk, you can use lay and back bets.
For instance, if there’s a game between Aston Villa and Arsenal, you will place a back bet on Arsenal while placing a lay bet on Villa. Irrespective of the final result, you will receive a win. However, this strategy demands significant research on winning odds and delivers low profits.
2. Kelly Criterion
If you are always confused about how much to stake on a football bet, the Kelly Criterion strategy can help.
The system recommends bettors to bet when there’s a difference between your estimated odds and the bookie’s.
For instance, let’s say there’s a match between Inter Milan and Real Madrid. You believe Madrid has a 65% winning chance. However, your bookie indicates Madrid’s chance of winning is around 55%.
To determine your ideal stake, you will use the equation: f* = [(b x p) – q] ÷ (b).
(b = 1.82 – 1 = 0.82, p = 0.65, q = 0.35)
The formula will suggest you bet 22.31% (f*) of your budget.
3. Arbitrage Betting
One of the low-risk betting strategies for football is the arbitrage betting plan, which recommends wagering on all potential outcomes of a match but with different bookies. To apply this strategy, you shall research the differences and odds between sportsbooks for similar outcomes.
You shall find the highest possible odds for each outcome before determining how much you wish to bet.
For example, you might bet on a football team playing at home on odds of 2,10, cover the away team and draw probabilities with decimal odds of 2,10.
1. Value Betting
Value betting is well-known for being one of the most profitable strategies in the long run. It focuses on finding markets where bookmakers are offering incorrect odds.
To simplify, you shall detect football markets and odds higher than the sharp bookmakers’ odds. For example, suppose a team has a 66% probability of winning a match. Most bookmakers are offering 1.40-1.45 odds with winning margins. However, some offer notably higher odds, such as 1.70 for the same outcome. You will need to look out for the latter.
Furthermore, you can calculate the bet’s value using the formula: V x K > 1
Here, V refers to the probability of the match’s winning outcome, and K means the odds the bookmaker sets.
2. Courtsiding
Courtside betting initially gained popularity for tennis matches, where bettors watched the matches live and transmitted information to outsiders.
The outsider is the one who placed the bets before bookies got the opportunity to change the odds. You can apply this as a betting strategy for football to generate instant profits. However, remember that you will need to transmit the information lightning-fast.
3. Catch-Up
A classic betting strategy among many bettors, the catch-up strategy requires you to double the amount of your next bet if you lost the previous bet. Once you win, you will reduce the betting stake to the initial level.
This betting strategy has several names across many games and can potentially deliver good returns.
However, it’s essential to know where to stop. Otherwise, after a few consecutive losses, you will have to bid farewell to your entire stake.
4. Betting On The Favourite
Most newcomers start their betting career with this renowned strategy, so you might be familiar with it.
As per the strategy, you must be well-versed in the team’s state, performance, and pre-event lineups. You may choose a single, fan-favourite club and bet on it throughout the season.
5. Total Under Betting
Ideal for live betting mode and long-run profits, the total under or TU strategy for betting on football recommends the bettors follow the match live and place the bets at specific moments according to the events.
You must keep a few key points in mind when placing TU bets.
- Avoid betting on matches between underdogs and obvious favourites
- Avoid friendly fixtures
- Place your bets 15 to 20 minutes before the end of the half
- Avoid betting if there’s an abundance of dangerous attacks in the match
- Close your bets on red cards from either side
6. Total Over Betting
Like the TU strategy, the total over strategy is ideal for live match betting. It recommends that bettors monitor events as closely as possible and consider the following points.
- Avoid duels between two underperforming clubs
- Research lineups for the presence and absence of critical forwarders and defenders
- Place your bets after 25-30 minutes from the start of the match
- Avoid betting on a match with fewer than four to five shots on target in the first 30 minutes
- A red card is a great reason to place your bet
- Bet when you notice an abundance of dangerous attacks.
It’s noteworthy that the TO and TU betting strategies are ideal for predicting the number of points or goals the teams will score rather than who will emerge as the ultimate winner of the match.
7. Both To Score Bets
The both-to-score football betting strategy is another hack that focuses on scorecards instead of the winner of the match. To apply this strategy, you must be well-versed with team performance and their statistics against each other. Experts also recommend choosing odds no lower than 1.9 for this strategy.
As per the strategy, you will predict whether each team playing the match will score at least one goal during the game.
8. Surebets
Following the sure bets strategy, you place bets on opposite outcomes at odds. This allows you to remain profitable even if the circumstances vary.
However, to use this strategy, you will need accounts in multiple BOs, as you will learn the distinction in odds of different BOs.
9. Situational Betting Strategy
With this strategy, you will wager bets that are highly favourable to the match’s situation. The more betting systems you have, the more situations you can consider betting on.
For example, if the weather is windy during a match, you can consider this to predict a player’s performance. Similarly, you can consider injury reports, recent forms, and match significance to determine your bets.
10. Betting On The Home Underdog
The potential payout of betting on an underdog is generally higher than betting on the favourite. However, this strategy also involves higher risk.
Still, the risk is feasible if the underdog is the home team. Home games tend to sway the match, allowing you to bet on the underdog. However, the odds must be close enough for you to win with this football betting strategy.
11. Bounce Back Betting Strategy
When the team is on a losing streak, they are often fired up to set the record straight again. With the bounce-back betting strategy, you will take advantage of this opportunity to gain a profit.
For instance, if a powerhouse, like Spain, unfortunately, loses a few games with their next match against a minor team, like the USA, who do you think will win?
14. Double Chance Football Systems
It is another betting strategy that suggests betting on multiple outcomes to mitigate the risk.
When following this strategy, you will bet on two of the three possible outcomes in football: home team win, draw or away team win.
Furthermore, the strategy is pretty similar to the arbitrage betting strategy. However, the payout can be less.
15. Focus On Shorter Odds
Rounding up this list of the best football betting strategies is the shorter odds strategy.
Shorter odds refer to odds that are more likely to occur, such as betting on goals that are likely to happen in the first half. The payout is potentially low, and so is the risk.
Wrapping Up
There are plenty of football betting site available online. You must be mindful of what teams or scores you are betting on.
Still, the majority of them cannot guarantee a win. What they can do is reduce your probability of failure.
In addition, you should choose a reliable site that maintains fairness across its betting programs. We utilise advanced blockchain technology and support cryptocurrency transactions to maintain transparency and fairness across our platform.
In addition, our site offers betting on popular live events, sports, esports, slots, and classic casino games. So, pay a visit now!