Liverpool failing to secure a Champions League spot, coupled with Juventus’ recent points penalty, could have potential implications on Arsenal’s group stage draw.

  • Liverpool’s failure to secure a Champions League spot might ease Arsenal’s group stage draw.
  • Juventus’ 10-point penalty means they are unlikely to qualify for the Champions League, potentially helping Arsenal’s draw.
  • Arsenal’s European coefficient rating might improve, helping them avoid tougher opponents.

As the Premier League season concludes, Liverpool’s inability to clinch a Champions League spot, coupled with Juventus’ unfortunate penalty in Serie A, might offer Arsenal unexpected relief in their Champions League group stage draw.

Liverpool's German manager Jurgen Klopp attends a press conference at the AXA Training Centre in Liverpool, north-west England on October 3, 2022, on the eve of the UEFA Champions League group A football match against Rangers. (Photo by Nigel Roddis / AFP) (Photo by NIGEL RODDIS/AFP via Getty Images)
Liverpool’s German manager Jurgen Klopp attends a press conference at the AXA Training Centre in Liverpool, north-west England on October 3, 2022, on the eve of the UEFA Champions League group A football match against Rangers. (Photo by Nigel Roddis / AFP) (Photo by NIGEL RODDIS/AFP via Getty Images)

The Gunners, under Mikel Arteta, will be returning to Europe’s most prestigious competition after a seven-year absence. While this return certainly marks a milestone in Arteta’s reign, the prospect of facing footballing titans such as Barcelona, Napoli, PSG, Bayern Munich, and Benfica in the group stage has understandably stirred anxiety among Arsenal fans.

However, recent developments at Liverpool and Juventus could alter Arsenal’s European journey. Liverpool’s inability to finish in the Premier League’s top four, confirmed after Manchester United beat Chelsea on Wednesday night, means that the Gunners’ European coefficient rating could place them in a more favourable pot in the Champions League draw.

Chelsea's English midfielder Conor Gallagher reacts to conceding their third goal during the English Premier League football match between Manchester United and Chelsea at Old Trafford in Manchester, north west England, on May 25, 2023.  (Photo by OLI SCARFF/AFP via Getty Images)
Chelsea’s English midfielder Conor Gallagher reacts to conceding their third goal during the English Premier League football match between Manchester United and Chelsea at Old Trafford in Manchester, north west England, on May 25, 2023. (Photo by OLI SCARFF/AFP via Getty Images)

The European coefficient, which ranks clubs based on their performance in European competitions over the last five seasons, has been a potential concern for Arsenal. Their position in these rankings was particularly affected by their early Europa League exit this season and failure to qualify for Europe in the previous season.

However, the story does not end in England. Over in Italy, Juventus have been hit with a 10-point penalty over alleged financial irregularities, effectively eliminating them from the Champions League race. The Italian giants are now positioned 7th in Serie A, five points adrift of the top four spots with just two games remaining.

Juventus' Polish goalkeeper Wojciech Szczesny leaves the pitch after suffering a chest pain during the UEFA Europa League quarter-finals first leg football match between Juventus and Sporting CP, on April 13, 2023 at the Juventus stadium in Turin. (Photo by Marco BERTORELLO / AFP) (Photo by MARCO BERTORELLO/AFP via Getty Images)
Juventus’ Polish goalkeeper Wojciech Szczesny leaves the pitch after suffering a chest pain during the UEFA Europa League quarter-finals first leg football match between Juventus and Sporting CP, on April 13, 2023 at the Juventus stadium in Turin. (Photo by Marco BERTORELLO / AFP) (Photo by MARCO BERTORELLO/AFP via Getty Images)

Juventus’ misfortune benefits Arsenal in two ways.

First, it removes a heavyweight contender from Arsenal’s potential Champions League group stage opponents.

Secondly, as 4th place in Serie A is likely to be filled by AC Milan, a team with a lower coefficient score than Arsenal, the Gunners could potentially secure a position in Pot 2 of the Champions League draw.

This would allow them to avoid any of the other Pot 2 teams, facing opponents from Pots 1, 3, and 4 instead.

NEWCASTLE UPON TYNE, ENGLAND - MAY 07: Mikel Arteta, Manager of Arsenal, celebrates with Aaron Ramsdale of Arsenal following the Premier League match between Newcastle United and Arsenal FC at St. James Park on May 07, 2023 in Newcastle upon Tyne, England. (Photo by Michael Regan/Getty Images)
NEWCASTLE UPON TYNE, ENGLAND – MAY 07: Mikel Arteta, Manager of Arsenal, celebrates with Aaron Ramsdale of Arsenal following the Premier League match between Newcastle United and Arsenal FC at St. James Park on May 07, 2023 in Newcastle upon Tyne, England. (Photo by Michael Regan/Getty Images)

Though other factors could still influence Arsenal’s final position in the Champions League draw, these recent developments offer a glimpse of potential relief.

As the European football scene continues to unfold in the coming weeks, the Gunners’ journey in their return to the Champions League will certainly be one to follow closely.