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Arsenal vs Atlético Madrid: Who is the favourite and what to bet on 

On May 5 at the Emirates Stadium, Mikel Arteta’s and Diego Simeone’s players will compete in the second leg of the 2025/26 Champions League semi-final. This 1xBet Ireland review contains all the useful information about the upcoming match. 

Odds* for popular markets

The odds for the main outcomes in the line of the legal brand 1xBet Ireland are as follows: W1 – 1.67, X – 4.16, W2 – 5.59. The home team has a nearly 60% chance of winning, making them the favourites in the return leg. The probabilities of a draw and an away win are 24% and 18%, respectively. Bets on total over 2.5 goals are offered at odds of 1.96, while total under 2.5 stands at 1.98. An accurate prediction on the “both teams to score (yes)” market will multiply your stake by 1.92, while the opposite outcome is offered at odds of 1.80.

Arsenal’s qualification for the final is estimated at 1.31, while Atlético’s progression to the next stage is considered much less likely, with odds of 3.45.

Long-term bets

Analysts of the global brand have assessed the chances of all semi-finalists to win the prestigious trophy:

  1. Bayern Munich and Paris Saint-Germain – 3.00 each.
  2. Arsenal – 3.25.
  3. Atlético – 8.95.

Experts tend to believe that the trophy will go to Munich or Paris. However, underestimating Atlético could be a mistake. In the previous round, Los Colchoneros unexpectedly defeated Barcelona, and Diego Simeone is almost unrivalled in his ability to get his team going in decisive games.

*Odds might change eventually

Penalty draw: What to know about the first match

Even considering their home advantage and Arsenal’s spring slump, Atlético was not seen as a favourite for the clash at the Metropolitano Stadium. In the first half, both teams played cautiously, wary of making a mistake that could prove fatal. The game was revived shortly before the break, when a penalty was awarded to the visitors. Viktor Gyökeres converted from the spot to give Arsenal the lead. 

In the second half, Los Colchoneros enjoyed 30 minutes of intense play – they held a huge advantage in shots (12-0) and dominated possession (up to 72%). During this spell, Ben White handled the ball in his own penalty area. After reviewing the controversial incident on the monitor, referee Danny Makkelie awarded a penalty to Atlético, which Julián Alvarez successfully converted.

The Madrid side continued to press. In one moment, Antoine Griezmann could have put Atlético ahead, but his shot hit the crossbar.

In the 78th minute, there were calls for a third penalty. However, after multiple reviews, the referee decided that Atlético defender Dávid Hancko’s actions did not amount to a foul.

The storm on the pitch gradually subsided, and the London side even tried to create chances toward the end of the clash. Still, it was clear that a draw in the away match was entirely satisfactory.

This season, Arsenal and Atlético have already played in London. Back then, Mikel Arteta’s side thrashed the visitors from the Spanish capital (4-0). However, the outcome of that match should not mislead bettors. In the autumn, the Gunners were in great form, but now their physical condition leaves much to be desired. Losing the Premier League lead, defeat in the EFL Cup final, elimination from the FA Cup, and a hard-fought win over Sporting in the quarter-finals are all factors working against Arsenal. Atlético, meanwhile, has often succeeded as an underdog. At the Emirates Stadium, we can expect a tense clash with an unpredictable outcome.

The Bet on Champions League promo makes predicting matches between Europe’s top clubs even more exciting. How to take part?

  1. Register or log in.
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  3. Place at least €5 bets on the Champions League.
  4. Receive a weekly cashback of 30% on all qualifying predictions.

Hurry up! There are three games left before the tournament ends!

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