The Athletic and FiveThirtyEight have calculated that Arsenal will likely finish in the top four, four points clear of Tottenham who will finish fifth.

With Arsenal in a great run of form, having lost only one of their last 10 games (to a Manchester City stoppage time winner), Arsenal seem to be in the driving seat for the top four place that is up for grabs.
Arsenal’s games in hand are tricky – against Spurs and Chelsea – so they by no means represent points in the bag.
Still, as we head into this weekend’s round of fixtures (I’m writing this before Manchester United play Tottenham), Arsenal are incredibly well placed.
With no European or cup football to distract them, the league can be their obsessive focus.
In addition to still having to play Arsenal, Spurs also have to play United (as mentioned), West Ham and Liverpool, in fixtures that are very similar to Arsenal’s remaining matches.
According to The Athletic using FiveThirtyEight data, this is how the final table should shape up come the end of the season:

If they are correct, it would mean that St Totteringham’s Day, which has been on hiatus for a few seasons, would make a welcome return as the world, at least in this matter, starts to right itself.