With Arsenal’s win over Manchester City moving them four points clear in second place, a surprising stat emerged after the 3-0 victory on Monday night.

Not only have Arsenal gone on to win the title the last two times they were in second place going into Xmas, some people who are good with figures have worked out that Arsenal are 69% likely to win the Premier League this season.

With a number of key players to return in the new year, many of whom will be fresh as a fractured daisy having played no football this season, would you bet against them?

Then again….

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Writer. Feminist. Dreamer. Gooner. Owner of DailyCannon.com, writing about Arsenal since 2008. Sometimes found in the Guardian, Vice.com & elsewhere talking queer issues, politics & football. If in doubt, assume sarcasm.